Nevada, South Carolina, Super Tuesday…. Amy Tom, & Pete are out..

Since the Nevada Primary, the-contenders was unable to update.. therefore here is the quick updates since:

Nevada Primary:

Winner: Bernie Sanders (Sen. VT), 2nd Place: Vice President Joe Biden

South Carolina Primary:

Winner: Joe Biden by huge margins thanks in large part to a domination in the African American community and a very timely announcement of support from longtime South Carolina Democrat Rep. Jim Clyburn.

Unsurprisingly, Billionaire Philanthropist Tom Steyer dropped his quest for the White House Saturday night after millions spent on South Carolina. The long-shot bid just ran out of time. In a more surprising move Sunday night and Monday Morning, Sen. Amy Klobuchar (MN) and Mayor Pete Buttigieg, South Bend, IN, dropped out of the race after dissappointing finished and unrealistic paths past Super Tuesday. The two had become bitter rivals, often trading personal attacks on the debate state as Moderate-Mid-Westerners. Both have joined Team Biden rallying their supporters to cast votes for the former Vice President.

Massachussetts Senator Elizabeth Warren and former Mayor of New York City are the only serious candidates (sorry Tulsi Gabbard) remaining in the race. The youngest candidate in the race is now Sen. Warren (70). The race for the Democratic Nominee hinges upon today’s results with a whopping 1,616 delegates up for grabs.

See below the percent chances for each Super Tuesday State, according to FiveThirtyEigth.com

CONTESTBIDENBLOOMBERGSANDERSWARREN
California22%1%76%0%
Texas552430
North Carolina95040
Virginia98020
Massachusetts2045125
Minnesota192532
Colorado206695
Tennessee685251
Alabama92350
Oklahoma782182
Arkansas6917121
Utah2811593
Maine237683
Vermont001000
American Samoa3620368

Mike Bloomberg, Nevada Debate, Contested Convention?

Wow was that Nevada Debate scary and divisive. Of course each of the 6 democratic candidates on the stage wants to be the nominee, but to what lengths will they go to tear each other apart? It only does Trump’s bidding for them. The candidates must unite and not squabble over small policy differences. It’s a real shame that the debate was so personal, contested, and loud.

With former New York City Mayor, Michael Bloomberg, making his debut on stage, it’s safe to say he had a total stinker of a debate. Mike has amazing ads that are on TV, Radio, Social Media, etc. every few minutes showing Mike as the ultimate Anti-Trump, but his record, his awkwardness were on full display. Bloomberg was ripped apart by Sen. Elizabeth Warren & Sen. Bernie Sanders, as well as Vice President Joe Biden. He had multiple awkward responses regarding his taxes, sexual harassment lawsuits at Bloomberg, and the controversial Stop & Frisk policies in NYC. We will see if this hurts him, but it clearly shows that he is not just an ad machine of goodness.

Some high (or low) points of the debate were:

Bloomberg taking an (unfair) shot at Bernie calling him a communist.. which is not true.

Several personal attacks by Mayor Pete Buttigieg on Sen. Amy Klobuchar regarding an interview with Telemundo in which she forgot the name of the Mexican President… to which Elizabeth Warren came to her defense for “being human and forgetting something”.

No mention of gun control in the city home to the worst mass shooting in American History.

Elizabeth Warren’s attacks on Mayor Bloomberg for his history of alleged sexist comments about women.

Transparency of Bernie Sander’s health history records.

One question that was very interesting was the prospect of a contested Democratic Convention taking place in Milwaukee this summer. When asked the Question, should the candidate with the most delegates by the Convention, if no candidate has not mathematically clinched. 5 of the 6 said no, while Sen. Sanders said absolutely.

IOWA

Bernie, Mayor Pete, Liz, and Joe seem to be the top 4.

Chuck Todd of NBC said today, “We Keep Trying to Make Iowa feel like a primary with it’s weird rules, but this is a mess… not faith in democracy”.

Arguments against the Caucuses are starting to build up as controversy is boiling on the late results, misleading numbers, and confusion.

As of this writing, Mayor Pete has declared initial victory

Senate Trial is a Sham; Delaney Drops; Iowa

3 Headlines today:

The Senate is on the verge of acquitting the President in the Impeachment Trial. A trial that will take place with 0 witnesses and 0 documents. Trump’s defense has practically outlined that “Abuse of Power is not impeachable if the President believes that interference in an election is in the public interest”. That is obviously wrong. But what you can do is vote out the following Republican Senators next November:

Cory Gardner, CO.

Martha McSally, AZ. *lost election in 2018 and appointed by Governor

Tom Thillis, NC.

Susan Collins, ME.

Joni Ernst, IA.

Kelly Loeffler, GA. *Appointed

David Perdue, GA.

Mitch McConnell, KY.

Cindy Hyde-Smith, MS.

Steve Daines, MT.

John Cornyn, TX.

Dan Sullivan, AK.

Tom Cotton, AR.

Jim Risch, ID.

Ben Sasse, NE.

Jim Inhofe, OK.

Lindsey Graham, SC.

Mike Rounds, SD.

Shelley Capito, WV.

Open Seats: WY, TN, KS

To Register: go to https://the-contenders.com/register-to-vote-in-your-state/


John Delaney, the former Congressman who has been running for President since 2018 has now dropped out of the race. He had previously mentioned he would stay in past Iowa, but will no longer.


The first votes of the 2020 cycle begin on Monday, as the Iowa Caucuses take place.

Current polls predict a toss-up with the top 4 of Joe Biden, Sen. Bernie Sanders, Pete Buttigieg, and Sen. Elizabeth Warren polling back and forth. Sen. Amy Klobuchar has also made grounds. It will surely be interesting.

Our prediction: Bernie pulls it out by 2 points, with Biden in 2nd, and Klobuchar a close 3rd.

Dropping Like Flies: Cory Booker is Out

NJ Senator Cory Booker has ended his Presidential Campaign, only 22 days away from the first votes in Iowa. His statesment today said, “Over the past eleven months of this campaign, we rallied around bold ideas to tackle some of the biggest challenges we face as a nation. We moved the debate forward on gun violence — introducing a plan with the most aggressive gun safety measures our country had ever seen. We advocated for progressive, swift change to our criminal justice reform system. We fought to protect and strengthen reproductive rights and access to abortion. Together, we spoke out and stood up for people and communities that have been left out and left behind.:

Booker will transition to run for re-election to the Senate but will fight hard for the Democratic Party around the country and the eventual nominee.

Booker built his campaign on hope and love, focusing on “Justice for All” but had a hard time breaking through in a crowded field. Booker, 50, still has many more years if he is interested in being president.

Marianne Williamson drops 2020 presidential campaign

Ending her long-shot campaign today, spiritual guru Marianne Williamson said, ” “I stayed in the race to take advantage of every possible opportunity to share our message. With caucuses and primaries now about to begin, however, we will not be able to garner enough votes in the election to elevate our conversation any more than it is now.”

Williamson had made some headlines early in her year long campaign, looking strong in the first June Debate. However, she has not qualified for any debate since July and has lost traction since the summer.

Williamson drops out with just under a month before the Iowa Caucus.

Williamson has said she will support the eventual nominee.

Senate and Congress

As we all know, 2020 is not just about the Presidential Election. Although it gets the most media coverage, every election matters. The outcomes of Local, State, and Federal Elections change the society we live in and how we operate it. Divided government only gets a town, state, or country so far.

That’s why we will begin to focus on a few of the key races for Senate first. As it is likely that the House stays Blue in November, a Democratically controlled Senate and White House would finally get major progressive agenda items passed (A reminder that over 400 Bills have been passed to help the American people since 2019 Democratically controlled House only to be stopped by Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell).

Keep an eye out on some of the featured races and where we think they stand.

Castro – OUT

Julian Castro, the former HUD Secretary and Mayor of San Antonio, TX, has suspended and ended his campaign. Castro today said, “I’m so proud of the campaign we’ve run together. We’ve shaped the conversation on so many important issues in this races, stood up for the most vulnerable people and given a voice to those who are often forgotten,” Castro said. “But with only a month until the Iowa Caucuses, and given the circumstances of this campaign season, I’ve determined that it simply isn’t our time, so today it’s with a heavy heart and with profound gratitude that I will suspend my campaign for president.”

Castro was the only Latino running for President with a very progressive agenda, but faced a tough time raising money to stay in the race. He failed to make the November and December debates.

Jury is out on his next move, we believe he would be a great VP option for Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, or Amy Klobuchar. It is definite he will campaign hard across Texas for state-wide races in the attempt to turn Texas blue in 2020.

Update: Julian Castro has endorsed Elizabeth Warren.

2020

Happy New Year!

2020 is massive.

We don’t want to send over the top, but 2020 is arguably the biggest election. Not only will the political landscape be determined, but our American institutions and soul will be shaped.

The Elections for the House, Senate, and President will shape the next generation. Action (or inaction) on Gun Safety; Climate Change; Racial, Religious and Gender Equality; Health Care; Education; Immigration; and so many more will determine the future of the United States and the world. What role do we want to play in it? What role can you play in it?

The Contenders is here to help you understand the year to come. Join the journey with us, help us grow, register to vote (and a group a friends) and help us to change this country.